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目标片段美国德国虽然说同时经历通货膨胀,但是美国在此期间有显著的经济增长。在过去两年中,德国经济零增长这些问题,我们在上上一期已经分析过执政党为什么如此不受欢迎,我们在这里就简单的概括一下。德国虽然说还没有陷入大规模的经济衰退,但是所有人都能够感受得到某种变化,正在到来,危机正在逼近。比如说能源转型对德国来说是一个巨大的挑战,尤其是德国的汽车工业,它在过去几十年以来一直是德国经济增长的关键动力。
来源片段but also the fact that for example the German car industry is in a very significant crisis that it feels as though the German economic model is running aground. So how serious is Germany's economic and political crisis? Is Germany as some people abroad and I was suggesting the New Sick Man of Europe? My analysis would be more that it's not only Germany first and for most but that it is the West and Western democracy that is in a state of crisis. And irrespective of
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Germany it is now hard to build stable coalitions. The size both of the far right alternative for Germany but also this new party led by Sarah Wagenknecht that you mentioned earlier is considerable. Some of these states now seem to be in danger of becoming ungovernable, at least in any kind of coherent way. At the national level the polls certainly are more moderate. It does look as though moderate and democratic parties are going to have a clear majority at the next federal elections but they're going to struggle as they have for the last 10 years or so to form coherent ideological
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最后我们会做一些预测AFD能否实现掌握国家权力的梦想。与此同时,我们还会讨论另外一个值得我们关注的冉冉升起的全新左翼政党,它当今的处境很像这个右翼AFD在上一届大选中的处境Bundnis-Sacher-Wagenknecht简称BSW它起源于德国极左翼政治,在短短几个月内从无到有。从2024年初的零开始,现在民调已经高达7%,这在德国政坛中是惊人的崛起。
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on them in many countries to try and compete for those voters you know you are associated in germany i think you'll agree but i hope i'm not mistating with the position that the party should really fight for the political center i personally have always found this debate to be slightly overly simplistic and i'm sure you wouldn't quite have put it in those simplistic terms either it seems to me that when the leader of the christian democratic party is somebody i could imagine voting for as i could have imagined voting for angla merkel and as i could certainly imagine voting for a cdu that
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但是AFD党内是有很多民族保守派,他们更加倾向于国家干预经济。这种特朗普,你想特朗普这里内也有这种民粹和支持自由市场的科技派之间的纠纷,对吧?这是一个矛盾。所以说我觉得AFD内部会有一部分人对于Vidal的态度有点像Angela Merkel所在的这个政党,对于默克尔的态度,就是哪怕我不一定真正喜欢你。但是所有人都知道,你的存在非常必要。你能够把事情办好,而且Ales Vidal是一个能够吸引选票的领导人,他也愿意去跟这些党内更极端的政治观点合作在2017年德国大选的时候Ales Vidal他是跟另外一个人Alexander Gauland一起领导AFD当时Vidal的形象更加温和。