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目标片段会去书中美国历史书中讨论的政党，这是一个真实存在的可能性。美国有没有可能从此以后就变成一个共和党统治的国家，然后再冒出来一个新的第三党，再跟共和党争霸，这是当时真实存在的可能性。因为在1968年到1992年之间，民主党只赢得了一次总统选举。而且他们赢得的这唯一一次还是尼克松经历了水门事件，颜面尽失之后，美国人不想再选一个共和党，他们才选了一个民主党。1977年选出来一个吉米卡特，民主党能够好不容易从共和党20年统治中夺回政权，也是因为当时他们对于尼克松的水门事件处在一个反感期，
来源片段So this is just the beginnings of what is going to be the extraordinary dramatic upside down flip of American politics so that over the course of the 20th century, the electoral map looks the same, but with all the colors reversed, blue states become red states, red states become blue states, but it's just the beginning of that because he is still strongest in the South and the South is still Jim Crow Dixie South. He still needs the support of Southern legislators to get his program through Congress. There was a real question in 1932, 1933, not whether the United States would collapse into revolution, that's always possible, but whether it would collapse into dictatorship. Was it going to be possible for an elected president to overcome this depression without resorting to some measures that in Europe had taken hold? People had seen Mussolini, they'd seen the beginnings of the Hitler era and there was a thought that America, this is the direction of travel in the world, Stalin with his five-year plans, the world is heading to dictatorship, democracy's had its time and Roosevelt was determined not to be a dictator, but that meant he had to get this stuff through Congress.
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来源片段
Which means Democrats will get to keep on appointing justices, maybe even another Supreme Court justice. Who knows? That's something Republicans care about. You know, I said in my abortion episode, I'm really not sure Mitch McConnell, in his heart of hearts, no matter what he says publicly, would really want to see Roe overturned. And now that Roe has been overturned, I think that's pretty unequivocally cost McConnell being majority leader again. Right? But I don't know if that's enough, and I think really only time will see.
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全美国唯一没有爆红的地方是Mondale自己的老家米尼苏打州，还有巨蓝无比的华盛顿特区，一个保守的旗帜，鲜明的虔诚的共和党人能够获得马萨诸塞州、纽约州的选票闻所未闻，这是美国历史上最大的压倒性胜利之一，有关里根的政策以及他的崛起，为什么里根能够获得压倒性胜利？还有里根跟特朗普有什么区别？我已经在第86期播客，特朗普会成为下一个里根吗？里面跟大家分析过了，今天我讲了这么一通，目的就是为了告诉大家当时面对里根的民主党，他们的处境比，
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I also think at the same time as it's true, and it was a real force here, and this was another high turnout election, Republicans weren't as afraid as I think they were under Obama. I think one of the ways Republican messaging has failed generally in the last couple of years is they've failed to make Joe Biden as unacceptable and as scary as they made Obama and Hillary.
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我相信这句话我都不用解释。我前两期在讨论美国大选，就是上上一期和上上上一期抱怨的，或者说在嘲笑的就是我觉得民主党今年失败的关键就在于他们一直在角色扮演扮演自己是更加客观的、
S2：2 个窗口回退
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And it enables Roosevelt to execute what I consider to be one of the great terminological heists in political history in the modern era. And that is he takes the word liberalism, which have been defined in classical terms as freedom from overbearing government. And he imbues liberalism with his message of positive liberty. The United States will not have liberalism unless it has a strong government that positions people to be free. And that becomes what liberalism in America is. To the confusion of Europeans who often are baffled by the idea that liberal means, if you want a better phrase, left wing.
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克林顿作为一个新民主党的代表者，他是一个很接地气的总统，他能够花连续几个小时。在当时当时还不是总统啊，只是一个候选人，能够在当时的美国大家开始普遍反思自由主义，一个苏联已经开始瓦解美国自由主义大喇叭将在未来十年响彻全世界的一个全新的政治环境下使用非常通俗的自由主义语言来跟美国老百姓畅想未来，美国应该怎么样在民主党主流建制派，普遍把警察描绘成压迫者的时候，压迫穷学生嬉皮士的人的时候，
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And as soon as the economy begins to show recovery, they tighten too soon and they plunge America into depression again. And what frees them from that intuitive way of thinking are the imperatives of total war. And so what war brings to America is the full-fledged implementation of Keynesian principles. And a level of debt that frankly would have been unimaginable in peacetime. Would have been unimaginable. And that opens up a new way of thinking economically and frees democratic policymakers from the constraints that they have been operating under during the 30s. So the 30s are a transitional time. Without the war and what the imperatives of war had demanded, the Keynesian principles may never have been fully implemented in the United States.
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因为他们过于无知，容易被操控。我想说的是，起码这不是90年代新民主党克林顿杀回来的新民主党成功的关键。新民主党在90年代成功的关键是，它向民众都受了新自由主义叙事一套全新的世界观和政策。当然你也可以说在1989年冷战结束之后，这个美国对战苏联的两极世界Bipolar World叙事已经过时了，美国已经准备好了迎接一个新的叙事。